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Red48
763412.4
385916.0
455031.2
Blue23
328811.6
817412.0
800520.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605630405070804823

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+25Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +22
8Coral scored#4
27Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
35Total teleop13
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
48Total score23

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4550
#26
31.20.5
25.424.9
Auto2.9
Teleop25.8
End2.4
red by 11.0
8005
#20
20.13.1
19.316.1
Auto5.9
Teleop11.9
End2.4
Second
3859
#11
16.00.3
13.313.0
Auto5.4
Teleop7.9
End2.6
red by 3.9
8174
#25
12.03.1
13.710.6
Auto1.5
Teleop9.2
End1.3
Third
7634
#32
12.40.5
13.813.3
Auto2.7
Teleop9.1
End0.5
red by 0.7
3288
#27
11.63.1
18.215.1
Auto3.0
Teleop5.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed