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Red81
324541.8
903718.6
641110.7
Blue46
364818.0
593311.0
105610.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66680204060801001208146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+45Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
20Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +37
10Coral scored#4
35Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
6Processor points0
16Net points4
22Algae points4
57Total teleop20
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#2
4L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
81Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.82.6
26.629.2
Auto11.1
Teleop28.4
End2.3
red by 23.7
3648
#14
18.01.4
20.519.2
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End6.2
Second
9037
#28
18.62.6
18.020.6
Auto8.9
Teleop9.3
End0.4
red by 7.6
5933
#37
11.01.4
17.416.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End1.1
Third
6411
#33
10.72.6
13.315.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.6
End1.1
blue by 0.1
1056
#24
10.81.4
20.519.2
Auto3.6
Teleop4.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsEarned