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Qual 202025 Utah Regional
Red47
316619.0
507111.3
79069.0
Blue107
156920.6
324322.7
49856.5
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59105020408012014016047107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+60
Endgame+72
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +43
6Coral scored#12
21Coral points44
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
0Processor points12
4Net points12
4Algae points24
25Total teleop68
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
12Foul points0
47Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3166
#17
19.03.2
19.1→15.9
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End2.1
blue by 37.5
498
#2
56.50.7
46.9→47.6
Auto12.7
Teleop38.2
End5.6
Second
5071
#21
11.33.2
25.5→22.3
Auto3.2
Teleop5.0
End3.2
blue by 11.4
3243
#22
22.71.2
23.6→24.7
Auto3.7
Teleop15.7
End3.3
Third
7906
#29
9.03.2
14.3→11.0
Auto2.1
Teleop5.9
End0.9
blue by 11.7
1569
#23
20.61.2
20.1→21.3
Auto3.6
Teleop14.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsEarned