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Red58
429324.2
455031.2
316619.0
Blue123
98765.5
324541.8
259417.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72972040608012014058123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+59
Endgame+71
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +28
6Leave3
1Coral scored#7
3Coral points34
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +31
9Coral scored#17
31Coral points60
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
6Processor points0
4Net points12
10Algae points12
41Total teleop72
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#11
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
6Foul points0
58Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4550
#26
31.21.5
24.923.4
Auto2.9
Teleop25.8
End2.4
blue by 34.3
987
#1
65.54.3
46.650.9
Auto19.7
Teleop37.3
End8.5
Second
4293
#10
24.21.5
24.623.1
Auto5.7
Teleop17.5
End1.0
blue by 17.6
41.84.3
29.233.4
Auto11.1
Teleop28.4
End2.3
Third
3166
#17
19.01.5
15.914.4
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End2.1
red by 1.1
2594
#38
17.84.3
8.913.2
Auto4.1
Teleop12.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned