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Red114
494432.8
417524.3
49856.5
Blue29
105610.8
189120.4
385916.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112682040608010012014016011429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+71Teleop
+83Endgame
+85Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave6
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +60
15Coral scored#3
53Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
6Processor points0
16Net points4
22Algae points4
75Total teleop15
Reef
8L4#2
5L3#1
4L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
23Game pieces#5
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +85
2Foul points0
114Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#2
56.51.1
47.648.7
Auto12.7
Teleop38.2
End5.6
red by 36.0
1891
#31
20.43.9
28.624.7
Auto3.6
Teleop15.3
End1.6
Second
32.81.8
24.726.6
Auto5.5
Teleop25.2
End2.0
red by 16.8
3859
#11
16.02.3
13.611.3
Auto5.4
Teleop7.9
End2.6
Third
4175
#18
24.31.8
23.225.0
Auto2.8
Teleop19.0
End2.4
red by 13.5
1056
#24
10.83.9
21.817.9
Auto3.6
Teleop4.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed