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Red56
817412.0
641110.7
300636.0
Blue45
320019.3
800520.1
913811.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584802040801005645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+7Teleop
+5Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +3
8Coral scored#8
29Coral points28
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
35Total teleop32
Reef
3L4#4
4L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
6Foul points0
56Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.00.3
29.929.6
Auto11.3
Teleop19.9
End4.7
red by 15.9
8005
#20
20.10.1
13.613.5
Auto5.9
Teleop11.9
End2.4
Second
8174
#25
12.00.3
11.611.3
Auto1.5
Teleop9.2
End1.3
blue by 7.3
3200
#35
19.30.1
16.716.7
Auto2.4
Teleop16.4
End0.5
Third
6411
#33
10.70.3
11.511.2
Auto3.0
Teleop6.6
End1.1
blue by 0.3
9138
#30
11.00.1
15.215.1
Auto3.3
Teleop5.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed