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Red84
321635.9
507111.3
455031.2
Blue82
763412.4
212255.8
79069.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7880506070901001108482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+8
Endgame+22
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +2
12Coral scored#11
42Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
52Total teleop54
Reef
6L4#6
2L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
24Foul points0
84Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.91.1
28.527.4
Auto3.4
Teleop29.7
End2.8
blue by 19.9
55.80.6
47.948.6
Auto15.0
Teleop30.4
End10.3
Second
4550
#26
31.21.1
23.422.3
Auto2.9
Teleop25.8
End2.4
red by 18.8
7634
#32
12.41.1
13.414.5
Auto2.7
Teleop9.1
End0.5
Third
5071
#21
11.31.1
18.016.9
Auto3.2
Teleop5.0
End3.2
red by 2.4
7906
#29
9.01.1
11.012.1
Auto2.1
Teleop5.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsEarned