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Red43
316619.0
324322.7
45858.3
Blue62
888519.4
438837.2
328811.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646702040801001201404362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +10
6Coral scored#8
22Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
32Total teleop42
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
43Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3243
#22
22.71.5
24.723.2
Auto3.7
Teleop15.7
End3.3
blue by 14.5
4388
#12
37.20.5
23.523.1
Auto9.2
Teleop25.7
End2.3
Second
3166
#17
19.01.5
14.412.8
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End2.1
blue by 0.4
8885
#19
19.40.5
18.718.2
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End2.9
Third
4585
#39
8.31.5
14.813.2
Auto2.3
Teleop5.3
End0.7
blue by 3.3
3288
#27
11.60.5
14.914.4
Auto3.0
Teleop5.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsEarned