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Red100
324541.8
585138.3
743616.8
Blue48
259417.8
156920.6
459810.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions976120408012014010048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+48Teleop
+50Endgame
+52Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +48
18Coral scored#8
63Coral points29
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
87Total teleop39
Reef
6L4#4
6L3#3
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
2Foul points0
100Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.80.7
33.434.1
Auto11.1
Teleop28.4
End2.3
red by 21.2
1569
#23
20.62.1
23.421.2
Auto3.6
Teleop14.5
End2.4
Second
5851
#15
38.30.7
28.329.0
Auto4.3
Teleop32.2
End1.8
red by 20.5
2594
#38
17.82.1
13.211.1
Auto4.1
Teleop12.1
End1.7
Third
7436
#16
16.80.7
18.919.6
Auto4.1
Teleop11.8
End0.9
red by 6.2
4598
#36
10.52.1
19.517.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed