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Red159
210238.6
548022.8
98765.5
Blue95
903718.6
789516.7
742660.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108101608012014016015995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+48Teleop
+58Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave0
8Coral scored#6
38Coral points30
41Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +37
15Coral scored#12
54Coral points43
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
24Processor points6
20Net points12
44Algae points18
98Total teleop61
Reef
7L4#8
7L3#6
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
6Foul points0
159Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#1
65.55.2
50.956.1
Auto19.7
Teleop37.3
End8.5
red by 5.0
60.50.3
52.852.5
Auto14.7
Teleop38.2
End7.6
Second
38.63.1
28.131.2
Auto7.3
Teleop27.6
End3.7
red by 20.0
9037
#28
18.60.6
20.720.2
Auto8.9
Teleop9.3
End0.4
Third
5480
#13
22.83.1
16.119.2
Auto2.9
Teleop17.9
End2.0
red by 6.1
7895
#34
16.70.6
15.414.8
Auto4.4
Teleop10.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed