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Red38
593311.0
417524.3
429324.2
Blue45
364818.0
800520.1
507111.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73530204060801001203845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+5Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +15
4Coral scored#3
16Coral points9
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
24Total teleop9
Reef
1L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
2Foul points6
38Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4175
#18
24.33.1
25.021.9
Auto2.8
Teleop19.0
End2.4
red by 4.1
8005
#20
20.11.3
13.512.2
Auto5.9
Teleop11.9
End2.4
Second
4293
#10
24.23.1
23.120.0
Auto5.7
Teleop17.5
End1.0
red by 6.2
3648
#14
18.01.3
20.218.9
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End6.2
Third
5933
#37
11.03.1
16.113.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End1.1
blue by 0.4
5071
#21
11.31.3
16.915.6
Auto3.2
Teleop5.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned