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Red28
79069.0
105610.8
888519.4
Blue46
385916.0
212255.8
913811.0
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50870204060801001202846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+8
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +3
2Coral scored#3
7Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
6Processor points0
0Net points0
6Algae points0
13Total teleop10
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#1
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
28Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8885
#19
19.42.6
18.215.6
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End2.9
blue by 36.4
55.82.1
48.646.5
Auto15.0
Teleop30.4
End10.3
Second
1056
#24
10.82.6
17.915.3
Auto3.6
Teleop4.4
End2.8
blue by 5.1
3859
#11
16.02.1
11.39.2
Auto5.4
Teleop7.9
End2.6
Third
7906
#29
9.02.6
12.19.5
Auto2.1
Teleop5.9
End0.9
blue by 2.0
9138
#30
11.03.5
15.111.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned