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Red97
189120.4
300636.0
156920.6
Blue14
763412.4
45858.3
328811.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions944602060801201409714

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+49Teleop
+61Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave6
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +32
5Coral scored#1
18Coral points4
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
36Total teleop4
Reef
4L4#0
2L3#1
1L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
13Game pieces#1
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +83
22Foul points0
97Total score14

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.00.4
29.629.2
Auto11.3
Teleop19.9
End4.7
red by 23.6
7634
#32
12.43.4
14.511.1
Auto2.7
Teleop9.1
End0.5
Second
1569
#23
20.60.4
21.220.9
Auto3.6
Teleop14.5
End2.4
red by 9.0
3288
#27
11.63.4
14.411.0
Auto3.0
Teleop5.8
End2.8
Third
1891
#31
20.40.4
24.724.3
Auto3.6
Teleop15.3
End1.6
red by 12.1
4585
#39
8.33.4
13.29.8
Auto2.3
Teleop5.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed