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Red131
800520.1
98765.5
417524.3
Blue19
259417.8
79069.0
817412.0
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1092805010015013119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+76Teleop
+74Endgame
+112Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave6
5Coral scored#0
24Coral points0
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +52
13Coral scored#1
47Coral points5
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
61Total teleop9
Reef
8L4#1
4L3#0
2L2#0
4L1 · trough#0
21Game pieces#2
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +112
38Foul points0
131Total score19

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#1
65.50.4
59.959.4
Auto19.7
Teleop37.3
End8.5
red by 47.6
2594
#38
17.82.4
15.012.6
Auto4.1
Teleop12.1
End1.7
Second
4175
#18
24.30.4
21.921.4
Auto2.8
Teleop19.0
End2.4
red by 12.3
8174
#25
12.02.4
13.010.7
Auto1.5
Teleop9.2
End1.3
Third
8005
#20
20.10.4
12.211.8
Auto5.9
Teleop11.9
End2.4
red by 11.2
7906
#29
9.02.4
9.57.2
Auto2.1
Teleop5.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
16%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed