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Red56
641110.7
429324.2
385916.0
Blue56
548022.8
45858.3
459810.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51540204060801005656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+4
+2Endgame
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
9Coral scored#8
31Coral points30
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
41Total teleop38
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#13
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points2
56Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4293
#10
24.2
Auto5.7
Teleop17.5
End1.0
red by 1.4
5480
#13
22.8
Auto2.9
Teleop17.9
End2.0
Second
3859
#11
16.0
Auto5.4
Teleop7.9
End2.6
red by 5.4
4598
#36
10.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.1
End1.0
Third
6411
#33
10.7
Auto3.0
Teleop6.6
End1.1
red by 2.4
4585
#39
8.3
Auto2.3
Teleop5.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed6%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed