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Red84
817412.0
742660.5
459810.5
Blue81
259417.8
548022.8
585138.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions928140601001201408481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+1Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +6
12Coral scored#15
42Coral points54
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
62Total teleop68
Reef
7L4#4
3L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
84Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.50.0
55.955.9
Auto14.7
Teleop38.2
End7.6
red by 22.2
5851
#15
38.30.3
33.133.4
Auto4.3
Teleop32.2
End1.8
Second
8174
#25
12.00.0
10.410.4
Auto1.5
Teleop9.2
End1.3
blue by 10.8
5480
#13
22.80.2
21.421.7
Auto2.9
Teleop17.9
End2.0
Third
4598
#36
10.50.0
11.711.7
Auto3.5
Teleop6.1
End1.0
blue by 7.3
2594
#38
17.80.3
14.014.4
Auto4.1
Teleop12.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed