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Red60
321635.9
156920.6
593311.0
Blue64
417524.3
888519.4
385916.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7860020401001206064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+10
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +7
10Coral scored#11
35Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
45Total teleop52
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
6Foul points0
60Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.91.2
28.527.4
Auto3.4
Teleop29.7
End2.8
red by 11.6
4175
#18
24.30.8
23.724.5
Auto2.8
Teleop19.0
End2.4
Second
1569
#23
20.61.2
21.420.2
Auto3.6
Teleop14.5
End2.4
red by 1.2
8885
#19
19.40.8
16.617.4
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End2.9
Third
5933
#37
11.01.2
11.09.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End1.1
blue by 5.0
3859
#11
16.00.5
9.710.3
Auto5.4
Teleop7.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed