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Red94
800520.1
438837.2
455031.2
Blue99
789516.7
913811.0
49856.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86752040601001201409499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+15Teleop
+1Endgame
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +22
14Coral scored#11
50Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
74Total teleop52
Reef
9L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
2Foul points8
94Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4388
#12
37.21.7
33.735.5
Auto9.2
Teleop25.7
End2.3
blue by 19.3
498
#2
56.51.4
48.550.0
Auto12.7
Teleop38.2
End5.6
Second
4550
#26
31.21.7
27.729.4
Auto2.9
Teleop25.8
End2.4
red by 14.5
7895
#34
16.72.1
13.916.0
Auto4.4
Teleop10.3
End1.9
Third
8005
#20
20.11.7
12.714.4
Auto5.9
Teleop11.9
End2.4
red by 9.2
9138
#30
11.02.1
7.19.2
Auto3.3
Teleop5.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned