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Red48
300636.0
743616.8
328811.6
Blue70
210238.6
429324.2
105610.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60742040801001204870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+20
Fouls+22
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +25
7Coral scored#8
24Coral points29
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
0Processor points12
4Net points12
4Algae points24
28Total teleop53
Reef
2L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points2
48Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.01.0
30.529.5
Auto11.3
Teleop19.9
End4.7
blue by 2.6
38.60.0
35.835.8
Auto7.3
Teleop27.6
End3.7
Second
7436
#16
16.81.0
18.217.2
Auto4.1
Teleop11.8
End0.9
blue by 7.4
4293
#10
24.20.0
20.220.2
Auto5.7
Teleop17.5
End1.0
Third
3288
#27
11.60.9
9.88.9
Auto3.0
Teleop5.8
End2.8
red by 0.8
1056
#24
10.80.0
12.012.0
Auto3.6
Teleop4.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed