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Red132
156920.6
212255.8
585138.3
Blue102
189120.4
98765.5
364818.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1201116080100140160132102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+36Teleop
+40Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
4Coral scored#5
18Coral points27
27Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +39
15Coral scored#9
55Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
87Total teleop48
Reef
8L4#5
5L3#4
2L2#4
4L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#17
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
2Foul points12
132Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.81.4
49.150.5
Auto15.0
Teleop30.4
End10.3
blue by 9.7
987
#1
65.51.2
60.759.5
Auto19.7
Teleop37.3
End8.5
Second
5851
#15
38.31.9
33.435.3
Auto4.3
Teleop32.2
End1.8
red by 17.9
1891
#31
20.41.2
20.118.9
Auto3.6
Teleop15.3
End1.6
Third
1569
#23
20.61.9
20.222.1
Auto3.6
Teleop14.5
End2.4
red by 2.6
3648
#14
18.01.2
19.318.1
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned