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Red128
742660.5
888519.4
45858.3
Blue135
800520.1
321635.9
49856.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9110020406080120140160128135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+23
Endgame+21
Fouls+7
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points23
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +23
14Coral scored#19
51Coral points70
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
75Total teleop98
Reef
4L4#8
5L3#7
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
14Foul points0
128Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.51.2
55.957.1
Auto14.7
Teleop38.2
End7.6
red by 4.0
498
#2
56.52.0
50.052.0
Auto12.7
Teleop38.2
End5.6
Second
8885
#19
19.41.5
17.418.9
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End2.9
blue by 16.5
35.92.7
27.430.1
Auto3.4
Teleop29.7
End2.8
Third
4585
#39
8.31.7
8.310.0
Auto2.3
Teleop5.3
End0.7
blue by 11.9
8005
#20
20.12.7
14.417.1
Auto5.9
Teleop11.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned