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Red62
455031.2
79069.0
743616.8
Blue41
316619.0
789516.7
641110.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions664702040801001201406241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+23Teleop
+23Endgame
+21Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +23
10Coral scored#4
36Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
46Total teleop23
Reef
5L4#2
2L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points2
62Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4550
#26
31.20.7
29.430.1
Auto2.9
Teleop25.8
End2.4
red by 12.2
3166
#17
19.00.5
15.615.1
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End2.1
Second
7436
#16
16.80.7
17.217.9
Auto4.1
Teleop11.8
End0.9
red by 0.1
7895
#34
16.70.5
16.015.5
Auto4.4
Teleop10.3
End1.9
Third
7906
#29
9.00.7
7.78.4
Auto2.1
Teleop5.9
End0.9
blue by 1.8
6411
#33
10.70.5
12.512.0
Auto3.0
Teleop6.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsEarned19%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed