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Red77
593311.0
548022.8
438837.2
Blue94
903718.6
763412.4
300636.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions806120401001201401607794

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+13
Endgame+15
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave9
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points21
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +1
12Coral scored#12
43Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
57Total teleop56
Reef
4L4#6
5L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points2
77Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4388
#12
37.20.6
35.536.1
Auto9.2
Teleop25.7
End2.3
red by 1.2
36.02.9
29.532.4
Auto11.3
Teleop19.9
End4.7
Second
5480
#13
22.80.5
21.722.1
Auto2.9
Teleop17.9
End2.0
red by 4.2
9037
#28
18.62.9
16.219.2
Auto8.9
Teleop9.3
End0.4
Third
5933
#37
11.00.6
9.810.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End1.1
blue by 1.4
7634
#32
12.42.9
10.613.5
Auto2.7
Teleop9.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed