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Red60
817412.0
189120.4
438837.2
Blue80
593311.0
79069.0
324541.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72602040801001206080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+2
Endgame+6
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave0
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points26
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +15
10Coral scored#7
35Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
49Total teleop34
Reef
5L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points14
60Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4388
#12
37.20.6
36.135.5
Auto9.2
Teleop25.7
End2.3
blue by 4.6
41.80.5
40.741.2
Auto11.1
Teleop28.4
End2.3
Second
1891
#31
20.40.6
18.918.3
Auto3.6
Teleop15.3
End1.6
red by 9.5
5933
#37
11.00.5
10.411.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End1.1
Third
8174
#25
12.00.6
12.612.0
Auto1.5
Teleop9.2
End1.3
red by 3.1
7906
#29
9.00.5
8.49.0
Auto2.1
Teleop5.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed