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Red87
903718.6
507111.3
324322.7
Blue87
455031.2
888519.4
259417.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5880020401001201408787

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+2
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +9
14Coral scored#14
49Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
6Processor points6
12Net points20
18Algae points26
67Total teleop76
Reef
5L4#8
6L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
87Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3243
#22
22.7
Auto3.7
Teleop15.7
End3.3
blue by 8.5
4550
#26
31.2
Auto2.9
Teleop25.8
End2.4
Second
9037
#28
18.6
Auto8.9
Teleop9.3
End0.4
blue by 0.8
8885
#19
19.4
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End2.9
Third
5071
#21
11.3
Auto3.2
Teleop5.0
End3.2
blue by 6.5
2594
#38
17.8
Auto4.1
Teleop12.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed