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Red89
743616.8
210238.6
324541.8
Blue89
494432.8
320019.3
438837.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10798501502008989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+4
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +11
13Coral scored#16
46Coral points57
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
60Total teleop71
Reef
5L4#6
7L3#3
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#20
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
89Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.80.2
41.341.1
Auto11.1
Teleop28.4
End2.3
red by 4.6
4388
#12
37.20.1
37.237.2
Auto9.2
Teleop25.7
End2.3
Second
38.60.2
38.238.0
Auto7.3
Teleop27.6
End3.7
red by 5.8
32.80.1
32.932.8
Auto5.5
Teleop25.2
End2.0
Third
7436
#16
16.80.2
16.416.1
Auto4.1
Teleop11.8
End0.9
blue by 2.5
3200
#35
19.30.1
19.419.3
Auto2.4
Teleop16.4
End0.5