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Red108
189120.4
321635.9
300636.0
Blue89
455031.2
429324.2
585138.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9410640608012014016018010889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+3Teleop
+17Endgame
+19Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
16Coral scored#11
56Coral points39
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#2
6Processor points24
12Net points8
18Algae points32
74Total teleop71
Reef
6L4#6
6L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#20
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +19
2Foul points0
108Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.00.5
34.534.9
Auto11.3
Teleop19.9
End4.7
blue by 2.3
5851
#15
38.30.1
38.438.3
Auto4.3
Teleop32.2
End1.8
Second
35.90.5
34.434.8
Auto3.4
Teleop29.7
End2.8
red by 4.7
4550
#26
31.20.1
31.331.2
Auto2.9
Teleop25.8
End2.4
Third
1891
#31
20.40.5
18.919.4
Auto3.6
Teleop15.3
End1.6
blue by 3.7
4293
#10
24.20.1
24.324.2
Auto5.7
Teleop17.5
End1.0