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Red122
743616.8
210238.6
324541.8
Blue141
189120.4
321635.9
300636.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1039120406080120140160180122141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points23
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +9
19Coral scored#17
68Coral points61
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
6Processor points18
16Net points20
22Algae points38
90Total teleop99
Reef
8L4#10
7L3#5
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
122Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.80.7
41.141.8
Auto11.1
Teleop28.4
End2.3
red by 5.8
36.01.3
34.936.2
Auto11.3
Teleop19.9
End4.7
Second
38.60.6
38.038.6
Auto7.3
Teleop27.6
End3.7
red by 2.7
35.91.3
34.836.1
Auto3.4
Teleop29.7
End2.8
Third
7436
#16
16.80.7
16.116.8
Auto4.1
Teleop11.8
End0.9
blue by 3.7
1891
#31
20.41.3
19.420.6
Auto3.6
Teleop15.3
End1.6