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Red163
98765.5
316619.0
742660.5
Blue85
189120.4
321635.9
300636.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160895010015020016385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+62Teleop
+72Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave0
7Coral scored#4
37Coral points19
43Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +38
21Coral scored#12
74Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
98Total teleop60
Reef
8L4#7
8L3#3
7L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +78
6Foul points0
163Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#1
65.50.4
64.164.5
Auto19.7
Teleop37.3
End8.5
red by 29.5
36.00.2
36.236.0
Auto11.3
Teleop19.9
End4.7
Second
60.50.4
59.259.6
Auto14.7
Teleop38.2
End7.6
red by 24.6
35.90.2
36.135.9
Auto3.4
Teleop29.7
End2.8
Third
3166
#17
19.00.4
17.618.0
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End2.1
blue by 1.5
1891
#31
20.40.2
20.620.4
Auto3.6
Teleop15.3
End1.6