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Red178
98765.5
316619.0
742660.5
Blue83
189120.4
321635.9
300636.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158845010020017883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+67Teleop
+85Endgame
+95Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
9Leave0
7Coral scored#1
35Coral points6
44Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +29
17Coral scored#14
62Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
12Processor points6
24Net points12
36Algae points18
98Total teleop69
Reef
5L4#3
9L3#6
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#19
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +95
12Foul points2
178Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#1
65.50.7
63.263.9
Auto19.7
Teleop37.3
End8.5
red by 29.5
36.00.2
34.634.5
Auto11.3
Teleop19.9
End4.7
Second
60.50.6
58.459.0
Auto14.7
Teleop38.2
End7.6
red by 24.6
35.90.2
34.534.4
Auto3.4
Teleop29.7
End2.8
Third
3166
#17
19.00.7
16.717.4
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End2.1
blue by 1.5
1891
#31
20.40.2
19.118.9
Auto3.6
Teleop15.3
End1.6