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Red170
173162.6
583022.5
210661.9
Blue136
11647.2
218617.3
62058.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15812550100200250170136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+18Teleop
+28Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
6Coral scored#6
31Coral points31
37Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +21
21Coral scored#16
75Coral points56
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
6Processor points12
20Net points12
26Algae points24
101Total teleop80
Reef
9L4#9
5L3#6
8L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +34
6Foul points0
170Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.60.4
62.262.6
Auto14.2
Teleop39.4
End9.0
red by 4.1
620
#8
58.50.3
58.258.5
Auto15.3
Teleop41.9
End1.3
Second
61.90.4
61.561.9
Auto16.9
Teleop37.1
End7.8
red by 14.7
116
#5
47.20.3
46.947.2
Auto5.5
Teleop34.1
End7.7
Third
5830
#26
22.50.4
22.122.5
Auto3.0
Teleop18.3
End1.1
red by 5.2
2186
#19
17.30.3
17.017.3
Auto5.9
Teleop2.9
End8.5