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Red152
173162.6
583022.5
210661.9
Blue160
11647.2
218617.3
62058.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15812250100200250152160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+10Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave9
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points17
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +1
23Coral scored#18
83Coral points64
1Processor algae#5
5Net algae#4
6Processor points30
20Net points16
26Algae points46
109Total teleop110
Reef
9L4#6
8L3#6
7L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
152Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.60.1
62.162.2
Auto14.2
Teleop39.4
End9.0
red by 4.1
620
#8
58.50.9
57.358.2
Auto15.3
Teleop41.9
End1.3
Second
61.90.1
61.361.5
Auto16.9
Teleop37.1
End7.8
red by 14.7
116
#5
47.20.9
46.046.9
Auto5.5
Teleop34.1
End7.7
Third
5830
#26
22.50.1
22.022.1
Auto3.0
Teleop18.3
End1.1
red by 5.2
2186
#19
17.30.9
16.117.0
Auto5.9
Teleop2.9
End8.5