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Red178
173162.6
583022.5
210661.9
Blue136
11647.2
218617.3
62058.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15612150100200250178136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+26Teleop
+36Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave9
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points17
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +22
23Coral scored#18
82Coral points66
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
18Processor points12
16Net points16
34Algae points28
116Total teleop94
Reef
12L4#10
7L3#5
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +42
6Foul points0
178Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.60.6
61.462.1
Auto14.2
Teleop39.4
End9.0
red by 4.1
620
#8
58.50.4
56.957.3
Auto15.3
Teleop41.9
End1.3
Second
61.90.6
60.761.3
Auto16.9
Teleop37.1
End7.8
red by 14.7
116
#5
47.20.4
45.646.0
Auto5.5
Teleop34.1
End7.7
Third
5830
#26
22.50.6
21.322.0
Auto3.0
Teleop18.3
End1.1
red by 5.2
2186
#19
17.30.4
15.716.1
Auto5.9
Teleop2.9
End8.5