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Red121
42265.1
68648.0
554923.1
Blue150
11647.2
218617.3
62058.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15912150100200250121150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+45
Endgame+35
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave3
3Coral scored#6
14Coral points31
23Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +34
14Coral scored#20
52Coral points72
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
66Total teleop100
Reef
7L4#9
4L3#6
4L2#7
2L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#32
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +29
6Foul points0
121Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#10
65.10.5
65.665.1
Auto18.4
Teleop39.1
End7.6
red by 6.6
620
#8
58.50.8
56.256.9
Auto15.3
Teleop41.9
End1.3
Second
686
#2
48.00.5
48.648.0
Auto7.8
Teleop34.4
End5.9
red by 0.8
116
#5
47.20.8
44.945.6
Auto5.5
Teleop34.1
End7.7
Third
5549
#14
23.10.5
23.623.1
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End2.2
red by 5.7
2186
#19
17.30.8
15.015.7
Auto5.9
Teleop2.9
End8.5