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Red129
11647.2
219946.2
159923.5
Blue54
164039.7
88841.7
55876.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15913005010020025030035012954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+61Teleop
+75Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +57
15Coral scored#6
53Coral points22
2Processor algae#1
8Net algae#3
12Processor points6
32Net points12
44Algae points18
97Total teleop40
Reef
6L4#2
5L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#12
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
0Foul points0
129Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116
#5
47.20.9
50.349.4
Auto5.5
Teleop34.1
End7.7
red by 5.6
888
#4
41.74.1
57.753.7
Auto11.7
Teleop29.4
End0.5
Second
2199
#13
46.20.9
59.358.4
Auto9.8
Teleop28.2
End8.1
red by 6.5
39.74.1
46.142.0
Auto11.3
Teleop23.3
End5.1
Third
1599
#25
23.50.9
33.232.3
Auto3.6
Teleop15.6
End4.2
red by 17.2
5587
#30
6.34.1
11.37.2
Auto2.3
Teleop2.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsMissed