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Red100
42265.1
218617.3
189524.7
Blue89
44941.0
99922.0
173162.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17315805010020025030010089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+27Teleop
+9Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave6
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points14
31Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +16
10Coral scored#6
37Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
55Total teleop39
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
8Foul points6
100Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#10
65.14.2
93.389.1
Auto18.4
Teleop39.1
End7.6
red by 2.5
62.63.6
64.060.4
Auto14.2
Teleop39.4
End9.0
Second
24.74.2
37.533.3
Auto4.5
Teleop17.6
End2.7
blue by 16.3
449
#23
41.03.6
57.553.9
Auto7.0
Teleop27.9
End6.1
Third
2186
#19
17.34.2
24.320.1
Auto5.9
Teleop2.9
End8.5
red by 15.4
9992
#28
2.06.0
15.69.6
Auto2.3
Teleop0.7
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned