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Red100
554923.1
188529.5
623914.9
Blue98
533840.9
583022.5
859254.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10718405015020025010098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+6Teleop
+8Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
18Coral scored#11
63Coral points38
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
12Processor points12
12Net points24
24Algae points36
87Total teleop74
Reef
8L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points6
100Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1885
#18
29.50.9
41.740.8
Auto2.0
Teleop26.4
End1.1
blue by 24.7
54.24.1
68.664.5
Auto13.0
Teleop36.2
End4.9
Second
5549
#14
23.10.9
25.424.5
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End2.2
blue by 17.9
5338
#12
40.94.1
48.844.6
Auto9.3
Teleop31.3
End0.5
Third
6239
#31
14.90.9
19.518.6
Auto4.4
Teleop9.3
End1.1
blue by 7.7
5830
#26
22.54.1
24.320.2
Auto3.0
Teleop18.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsMissed