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Red50
191512.6
237720.3
99922.0
Blue87
903327.1
188529.5
524313.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions671160501001502002505087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+37
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +41
6Coral scored#14
23Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
33Total teleop74
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
50Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2377
#29
20.30.4
16.817.2
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End0.2
blue by 9.1
1885
#18
29.50.3
40.840.6
Auto2.0
Teleop26.4
End1.1
Second
1915
#32
12.60.4
15.115.5
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End2.4
blue by 14.5
9033
#17
27.10.3
28.328.0
Auto5.0
Teleop18.4
End3.7
Third
9992
#28
2.00.6
9.610.2
Auto2.3
Teleop0.7
End-0.8
blue by 11.1
5243
#24
13.10.3
12.812.6
Auto3.6
Teleop8.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed