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Red146
138911.5
126233.6
189524.7
Blue65
9998-1.4
859254.2
11647.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9414205020014665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+11Teleop
+13Endgame
+81Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave9
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +21
11Coral scored#7
41Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
55Total teleop34
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
8Cage & park6
8Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +81
74Foul points6
146Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1262
#16
33.61.3
32.731.4
Auto4.0
Teleop28.3
End1.2
blue by 20.7
54.24.6
64.559.9
Auto13.0
Teleop36.2
End4.9
Second
24.71.3
33.332.0
Auto4.5
Teleop17.6
End2.7
blue by 22.5
116
#5
47.24.6
49.444.8
Auto5.5
Teleop34.1
End7.7
Third
1389
#21
11.51.3
25.924.6
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End1.9
red by 13.0
9998
#27
-1.47.6
13.86.2
Auto-0.7
Teleop0.5
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsMissed