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Red115
218617.3
68648.0
164039.7
Blue80
188529.5
9998-1.4
61432.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14092020030040011580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+7Teleop
+29Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points10
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +7
9Coral scored#10
33Coral points36
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
53Total teleop60
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#17
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
6Foul points0
115Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#2
48.00.2
49.949.8
Auto7.8
Teleop34.4
End5.9
red by 15.6
614
#15
32.40.1
32.031.9
Auto7.4
Teleop24.0
End1.0
Second
39.70.2
38.938.7
Auto11.3
Teleop23.3
End5.1
red by 10.2
1885
#18
29.50.1
36.536.4
Auto2.0
Teleop26.4
End1.1
Third
2186
#19
17.30.2
14.214.1
Auto5.9
Teleop2.9
End8.5
red by 18.8
9998
#27
-1.40.2
5.45.2
Auto-0.7
Teleop0.5
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed