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Red104
62058.5
237720.3
11647.2
Blue93
219946.2
463828.3
623914.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1339405015020010493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+23Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave0
4Coral scored#4
19Coral points20
19Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +24
15Coral scored#10
53Coral points37
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
81Total teleop57
Reef
4L4#7
8L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
104Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#8
58.50.9
58.457.5
Auto15.3
Teleop41.9
End1.3
red by 12.3
2199
#13
46.20.1
50.149.9
Auto9.8
Teleop28.2
End8.1
Second
116
#5
47.20.9
41.941.0
Auto5.5
Teleop34.1
End7.7
red by 18.9
4638
#22
28.30.1
27.327.1
Auto11.0
Teleop15.0
End2.3
Third
2377
#29
20.30.9
17.116.2
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End0.2
red by 5.5
6239
#31
14.90.1
17.617.5
Auto4.4
Teleop9.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned