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Red67
583022.5
159923.5
191512.6
Blue89
907253.0
189524.7
554923.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5213801002002506789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+16
Endgame+16
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +2
11Coral scored#9
38Coral points32
0Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
0Processor points12
16Net points12
16Algae points24
54Total teleop56
Reef
5L4#6
2L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points6
67Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1599
#25
23.50.1
28.728.8
Auto3.6
Teleop15.6
End4.2
blue by 29.6
9072
#11
53.02.4
64.662.2
Auto11.5
Teleop39.7
End1.8
Second
5830
#26
22.50.1
21.121.2
Auto3.0
Teleop18.3
End1.1
blue by 2.2
24.72.4
29.126.6
Auto4.5
Teleop17.6
End2.7
Third
1915
#32
12.60.1
12.612.7
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End2.4
blue by 10.4
5549
#14
23.12.4
20.117.6
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsEarned