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Red102
189524.7
62058.5
903327.1
Blue83
61432.4
218617.3
126233.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1267205010015020010283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
+37Teleop
+31Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
0Leave3
5Coral scored#2
26Coral points11
26Total auto14
TeleoperatedRed +25
12Coral scored#9
44Coral points33
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
68Total teleop43
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#4
4L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +6
8Cage & park14
8Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points12
102Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#8
58.50.8
57.556.7
Auto15.3
Teleop41.9
End1.3
red by 25.0
1262
#16
33.60.4
28.528.0
Auto4.0
Teleop28.3
End1.2
Second
9033
#17
27.10.8
27.526.7
Auto5.0
Teleop18.4
End3.7
blue by 5.3
614
#15
32.40.4
31.931.5
Auto7.4
Teleop24.0
End1.0
Third
24.70.8
26.625.8
Auto4.5
Teleop17.6
End2.7
red by 7.4
2186
#19
17.30.4
14.113.6
Auto5.9
Teleop2.9
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned