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Red68
88841.7
583022.5
82307.6
Blue53
159923.5
554923.1
99922.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions875201502002503006853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+17Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +17
12Coral scored#6
44Coral points21
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
52Total teleop35
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
6Foul points6
68Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#4
41.71.2
44.943.7
Auto11.7
Teleop29.4
End0.5
red by 18.2
1599
#25
23.50.2
28.828.6
Auto3.6
Teleop15.6
End4.2
Second
5830
#26
22.51.2
21.220.0
Auto3.0
Teleop18.3
End1.1
blue by 0.5
5549
#14
23.10.2
17.617.4
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End2.2
Third
8230
#20
7.61.2
11.410.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.1
End5.6
red by 5.6
9992
#28
2.00.3
0.50.2
Auto2.3
Teleop0.7
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed1%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed