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Red93
859254.2
191512.6
219946.2
Blue208
533840.9
173162.6
463828.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1301368010012016018020093208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+61
Endgame+61
Fouls+115
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
7Coral scored#9
37Coral points44
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +54
7Coral scored#17
26Coral points62
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
36Total teleop90
Reef
6L4#7
3L3#9
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#6
16Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +115
6Foul points60
93Total score208

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.22.2
57.154.9
Auto13.0
Teleop36.2
End4.9
blue by 8.4
62.61.6
55.957.5
Auto14.2
Teleop39.4
End9.0
Second
2199
#13
46.22.2
49.947.7
Auto9.8
Teleop28.2
End8.1
red by 5.3
5338
#12
40.91.6
41.042.6
Auto9.3
Teleop31.3
End0.5
Third
1915
#32
12.62.2
12.710.5
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End2.4
blue by 15.7
4638
#22
28.31.6
27.128.7
Auto11.0
Teleop15.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned