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Red69
237720.3
524313.1
583022.5
Blue113
210661.9
44941.0
164039.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2318005010015020025030069113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+34
Endgame+44
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +9
6Leave0
2Coral scored#5
12Coral points27
18Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +25
10Coral scored#11
35Coral points40
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#3
6Processor points18
4Net points12
10Algae points30
45Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#5
5L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points0
69Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5830
#26
22.51.2
20.021.2
Auto3.0
Teleop18.3
End1.1
blue by 39.3
61.92.7
62.159.4
Auto16.9
Teleop37.1
End7.8
Second
2377
#29
20.31.2
16.217.4
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End0.2
blue by 20.7
449
#23
41.02.7
46.043.4
Auto7.0
Teleop27.9
End6.1
Third
5243
#24
13.11.2
9.811.0
Auto3.6
Teleop8.5
End1.0
blue by 26.6
39.72.7
38.736.0
Auto11.3
Teleop23.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed35%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
5%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned