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Red79
463828.3
907253.0
82307.6
Blue95
188529.5
189524.7
88841.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1221294060801001401601807995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+22
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +25
12Coral scored#18
42Coral points63
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
56Total teleop81
Reef
5L4#8
3L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#22
BargeRed +6
14Cage & park8
14Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
79Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9072
#11
53.02.0
57.155.1
Auto11.5
Teleop39.7
End1.8
red by 11.4
888
#4
41.71.4
43.742.3
Auto11.7
Teleop29.4
End0.5
Second
4638
#22
28.32.0
28.726.7
Auto11.0
Teleop15.0
End2.3
blue by 1.2
1885
#18
29.51.4
31.430.0
Auto2.0
Teleop26.4
End1.1
Third
8230
#20
7.62.0
10.28.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.1
End5.6
blue by 17.1
24.71.4
25.824.4
Auto4.5
Teleop17.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed