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Red121
99922.0
210661.9
62058.5
Blue74
9998-1.4
533840.9
219946.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1428605010020025012174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+39Teleop
+39Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
0Leave3
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points9
27Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +24
12Coral scored#9
44Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
12Processor points6
24Net points16
36Algae points22
80Total teleop56
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#2
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
8Foul points0
121Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.90.2
59.459.2
Auto16.9
Teleop37.1
End7.8
red by 15.7
2199
#13
46.21.1
47.746.6
Auto9.8
Teleop28.2
End8.1
Second
620
#8
58.50.2
56.756.5
Auto15.3
Teleop41.9
End1.3
red by 17.6
5338
#12
40.91.1
42.641.5
Auto9.3
Teleop31.3
End0.5
Third
9992
#28
2.00.4
0.2-0.2
Auto2.3
Teleop0.7
End-0.8
red by 3.4
9998
#27
-1.41.9
0.4-1.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop0.5
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsMissed87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed