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Red191
173162.6
164039.7
11647.2
Blue134
126233.6
554923.1
237720.3
96%Model gave it4%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163550100150200250300191134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+41Teleop
+57Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave0
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points15
33Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +23
27Coral scored#25
96Coral points91
5Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
30Processor points12
16Net points16
46Algae points28
142Total teleop119
Reef
12L4#11
8L3#5
7L2#7
6L1 · trough#5
42Game pieces#34
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points0
191Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.63.0
57.560.5
Auto14.2
Teleop39.4
End9.0
red by 29.1
1262
#16
33.64.0
28.032.0
Auto4.0
Teleop28.3
End1.2
Second
116
#5
47.23.0
40.843.9
Auto5.5
Teleop34.1
End7.7
red by 24.2
5549
#14
23.14.0
17.421.4
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End2.2
Third
39.73.0
36.039.1
Auto11.3
Teleop23.3
End5.1
red by 19.4
2377
#29
20.34.0
17.421.4
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed