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Red60
55876.3
524313.1
191512.6
Blue107
218617.3
859254.2
903327.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211405010015020060107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+31
Endgame+43
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave6
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points24
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +7
11Coral scored#10
40Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
50Total teleop57
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points4
60Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5243
#24
13.12.1
11.013.1
Auto3.6
Teleop8.5
End1.0
blue by 41.1
54.20.3
54.955.3
Auto13.0
Teleop36.2
End4.9
Second
1915
#32
12.62.1
10.512.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End2.4
blue by 14.5
9033
#17
27.10.3
26.727.0
Auto5.0
Teleop18.4
End3.7
Third
5587
#30
6.32.1
4.26.3
Auto2.3
Teleop2.5
End1.6
blue by 11.0
2186
#19
17.30.3
13.614.0
Auto5.9
Teleop2.9
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsEarned